‘Guide for co-elaboration of scenarios: Building shared understanding and joint action for reform and security of forest tenure’, by Robin Bourgeois

GovInn’s Senior Researcher Robin Bourgeois published the ‘Guide for co-elaboration of scenarios: Building shared understanding and joint action for reform and security of forest tenure‘ with The Centre for International Forestry Research.

This guide aims to help field-based practitioners co-elaborate scenarios at local level with multiple stakeholders on forest tenure security. It is the product of the application of the Participatory Prospective Analysis method* (Bourgeois and Jésus 2004) in three training workshops, each held over five days. These were conducted in Indonesia, Uganda and Peru in the context of CIFOR’s Global Comparative Study project on forest tenure security (hereafter the GCS-Tenure project). The three workshops trained more than 60 people as facilitators through a learning-by-doing process.

Read the full publication here:

Robin Bourgeois at the Lesotho ‘Foresight and Scenario’ workshop, 30.10-03.11.2017

From October 30 to November 3,  GovInn’s Senior Researcher Robin Bourgeois was in Lesotho to co-facilitate a “Lesotho Foresight and Scenario” workshop. This activity is part of the Lesotho Foresight and Scenario Project (LFSP), a collaborative project between the Government of Lesotho, the National University of Lesotho (NUL) and the United Nations Development Programme. The purpose of the workshop was to develop scenarios of Lesotho’s plausible futures and identifying pathways leading towards preferred futures. Around 50 participants from diverse sectors and institutions attended the three-day workshop. Robin supported Tanja Hichert in the implementation of the workshop program. Five scenarios have been designed and a related timeline of actions has been identified. Next steps will include finalization of the scenarios and dissemination. A full workshop report will be produced and made available by the end of November 2017. For more information contact Robin at

Robin Bourgeois at GFAR Webinar ‘Beyond decision making: Foresight as a process for improving attitude towards change’, 27.06.2018

GovInn’s Senior Researcher Robin Bourgeois participated in the GFAR Webinar ‘Beyond decision making: Foresight as a process for improving attitude towards change’.

As part of its series of webinars, GFAR Secretariat is bringing together foresight practitioners and others interested in foresight for agriculture and rural development. They will engage on the role of foresight in proactive and participatory decision making, and in improving attitudes towards change in order to realize effective agriculture and rural development programmes.



Link to Robin’s presentation:

Link to the overall webinar broadcast:

General information about the webinar:

‘The State of Foresight in Food and Agriculture: Challenges for Impact and Participation’ by Robin Bourgeois

GovInn’s Senior Researcher Robin Bourgeois published together with Cristina Sette the article ‘The State of Foresight in Food and Agriculture: Challenges for Impact and Participation‘ in the journal Futures.

Actionable foresight for food and agriculture faces the double challenge of including, and impacting on multiple stakeholders. We present here a state of the art of participation, stakeholder inclusion and impact of 38 recent foresight studies on food and agriculture. All cases were selected through a worldwide survey in seven languages, a bibliography and multi-lingual web review, and a review by a group of foresight experts. Our results indicate that global foresight studies are led by experts or scientists from international organizations or national organizations from advanced countries, with rather limited participation of stakeholders, while more local studies are more inclusive and directly linked to policy making. Leadership in foresight by least developed countries’, farmers’ or civil society’s organizations is marginal. While there is more than anecdotic evidence of the impact of these foresight works, this is rarely documented. The paper combines literature review and case study to provide evidence on the links between stakeholder inclusion and impact and presents the Global Foresight Hub, an innovative initiative at global level for strengthening participation, inclusion and impact of foresight in food and agriculture.

Read the full article here:

What Future for Rural Areas? Seven plausible rural transformations

GovInn’s Researcher Robin Bourgeois published the article “What Future for Rural Areas? Seven plausible rural transformations”  in the journal Development.

The future of rural areas is unpredictable, but it can be explored. This article draws from selected Futures Studies to identify global trends and discontinuities in these trends that could affect rural areas in contrasting ways. These drivers are combined to explore plausible rural transformations, focusing on two major dimensions. One is rooted in societal values and worldviews about the rural world. The other is rooted in consumers’ preferences and how they link to production systems. As a result, seven plausible transformations are identified and discussed. Some of them are already happening, others are in an embryonic stage in various places. Some are desirable, others are not. They call for societal choices and immediate action if the future of rural areas is to be the future we want for them.